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1/26/08

Roulette systems review

Some players swear that they know safe system of rates which wins always. Thus the majority of them wish to sell to you this system. Understand, that in a roulette play current more than three hundred years, and set of people steadfastly studied game. If there was a safe system of rates roulette tables for a long time ago would throw out on garbage from a casino on garbage. There are no magic systems - there is only luck. Arthur Reber in "The new Bible of Player" divides the games offered in a casino, on two categories:
  1. games in which, possessing corresponding knowledge and skill, you have chance to win.
  2. games in which the bank has an advantage before the player where the population mean of payments under rates is less than zero and where, playing long enough, you, finally, will lose.
Game concerns to the second category is a roulette. The bank of a casino will always be the winner, because the sum of payments always exceeds the present parity of a prize and the rate. Alongside with it at a casino in a stock and other ways to not go bankrupt. Among them – restriction of the maximal size of the rate, and also "zero". But players today, as well as in the remote past, invent the various systems of game based both on mathematical principles and on influence of supernatural forces on impartial roulette wheel. I shall result some known systems of game in a roulette:
  • Martingale - in a basis the precondition lays, that if a series of equally probable events is realized in equally probable results each subsequent event can come to the end otherwise;
  • Biaric - is based on the assumption, that any quantity of parties surpassing 111 (37+37+37), is accompanied even by one prize straight.
  • Quban - it is based on that in the third column of a marking of a field there are eight red numbers and only four black. Therefore, if to do simultaneously two rates: one on red, another on the third column the victory is provided.
  • Cancelation (deletion) - an essence that, having written down in a column group of figures from 1 up to 10, the player should stake on number which it to turn out by addition of first and last figures of a column. At a prize the player crosses out the used figures.
Authors of "nonmathematical" systems consider dependence of result on performance of various occult rituals, hoping to the aid supernatural forces. For example, following advantageous number can be defined by addition of any previous dropped out number with the so-called magic numbers having symbolical sense (7 or 9).
Some systems brought to the authors a large prize. So in 1891 Charles Devill Wells, was gaming three days in Monte-Carlo, from 400 pounds sterling has managed to make 40000, using "martingale" system. But nobody allowed to foresee, to what would this system leads, playing it long enough time. At the best it would manage to lower losses, and in the worst - would manage in a big money sum.
All "systems", especially in long-term prospect, cannot help to win to the player where you cannot win: in fact in a casino probabilities know all and reasonably offer such games as a roulette to provide to itself likelihood advantage.
Why, knowing all this, people continue to play those games, to win in which in long-term prospect it is impossible? First, negative value of a population mean of payment in game at all does not mean, that you will constantly lose. Secondly, gambling a pleasure. Grasps a course of game, psychological rise which is sensed by the player, for example, during rotation of a roulette wheel or during the moment of opening of a "solving" card.And from time to time even statistically the worst game brings surprising prizes. In fact has won Shon O'Connery $30000 for three parties, putting every time on 17 though the probability of loss makes three times of successively same numbers 1 to 46656!
People speak, that they are playing roulette without system. No, actually, they in any case use any system. It is possible to put at date of the birth or day of death of the mother-in-law, it is possible to throw chesspieces on a table through a shoulder, having turned to it a back - in any case it is any system of rates.
Each player can have an own way of "wining" roulette, at times rather original. For example, Stefan Heller, the French industrialist, the owner of a network of the textile enterprises, reading daily reports of subordinates on quantity of the reels used in a number of machine tools, did calculations on the basis of the received figures. And on "happy" numbers revealed as a result of complex calculations next day put in a casino. Probably, it is successful, because there no data on his large losses or bankruptcy.

1/25/08

10 most common myths

Gambling myths

Sometimes people hold beliefs about gambling that are not true. Some common myths, include:
  • The odds of winning be manipulated by varying bet sizes
  • Hot (or cold) coins will produce winning results
  • If you continue to gamble, you will win back what you have lost
  • Gambling is a solution to financial problems
  • Playing faster/slower (on the pokies) increases the chances of winning
  • My turn will come eventually
  • The more I gamble the more I win
  • That horse is due
  • Someone touching my shoulder is bad luck
The real facts
  • Pokies are programmed so that in the end the machine will win. Nothing you do changes that
  • Pokies are not designed to provide you with extra income. They are designed to make profit for others
  • Like other forms of entertainment, you have to pay to play the pokies
  • The more you play the more you pay
  • Each poker machines computer program is designed to act randomly each time you press the button
  • The outcome is independent of the previous plays
  • You can never predict how each play will end. Factors like when the machine last paid out, how much you bet or how many lines you bet, how long you have been playing, the time of day or past and future plays do not affect the outcome.
All is at first sight logical, but nevertheless we continue to trust any signs and stereotypes. Only professionals can be prudent and cold. In what a secret? Experience or the trained mentality?